Samo delim svoje iskustvo da bih vam dao predstavu o igrama koje igramo i veoma dobrim propisima koji su napravljeni za softver!
Rezime situacije:
Odigrao sam 112 okretaja po 0,10 evra po komadu.
Dobio sam 0,00 € zauzvrat.
Igrao sam Volcano Coin na Tortuga Casino-u (licenciran na Kurasau).
Da li je ovo matemati?ki mogu?e?
Razumna pretpostavka: stopa pobeda = 25%
?ak i veoma volatilni slot ?esto ima stopu dobitka po okretaju od oko 20% do 30%, ?to zna?i:
1 od 4 okretaja daje barem mali dobitak (?ak i 0,02 € ili ?la?ni dobitak").
Izra?unavanje verovatno?e
Ako je verovatno?a da ne dobijete u jednom okretaju 75%, onda je verovatno?a da izgubite 112 puta zaredom:
P=(0,75)112≈2,3×10?14P = (0,75)^{112} \pribli?no 2,3 \puta 10^{-14}P=(0,75)112≈2,3×10?14To je otprilike 1 prema 43.689.143.880.000 (otprilike 43 triliona).
?? ?ak i sa pesimisti?nom procenom?
Ako pretpostavimo veoma nisku stopu dobitaka od 15% (dakle, ?ansa od 0,85 za gubitak svakog okretaja):
P=(0,85)112≈7,2×10?9P = (0,85)^{112} \pribli?no 7,2 \puta 10^{-9}P=(0,85)112≈7,2×10?9To je otprilike 1 prema 138 miliona.
?? Matemati?ki zaklju?ak:
?ak i sa veoma nepovoljnom procenom, ovaj ishod je statisti?ki gotovo nemogu? na zaista fer slot ma?ini.
?ta vi mislite o ovome, s obzirom na to da izgleda da su ovi dobavlja?i igara za?ti?eni i od strane regulatora i kazina!
I an just sharing my experience to give you an idea on the games we play and the very nice regulations done on the softwares!
Recap of the situation:
i played 112 spins at €0.10 each.
i received €0.00 in return.
i played Volcano Coin on Tortuga Casino (licensed in Cura?ao).
Is this mathematically possible?
Reasonable assumption: win rate = 25%
Even a highly volatile slot often has a win rate per spin of around 20% to 30%, meaning:
1 out of 4 spins gives at least a small win (even €0.02 or a "fake win").
Probability Calculation
If the probability of not winning on a single spin is 75%, then the probability of losing 112 times in a row is:
P=(0.75)112≈2.3×10?14P = (0.75)^{112} \approx 2.3 \times 10^{-14}P=(0.75)112≈2.3×10?14That’s about 1 in 43,689,143,880,000 (roughly 43 trillion).
?? Even with a pessimistic estimate?
If we assume a very low win rate of 15% (so a 0.85 chance of losing each spin):
P=(0.85)112≈7.2×10?9P = (0.85)^{112} \approx 7.2 \times 10^{-9}P=(0.85)112≈7.2×10?9That’s about 1 in 138 million.
?? Mathematical Conclusion:
Even with a very unfavorable estimate, this outcome is statistically almost impossible on a truly fair slot machine.
what do you guys think of this as it seems these gaming providers are protected by both regulators and casinos!